Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgaria retains the 44th rank and is among the low-performing countries in this year’s CCPI.

Bulgaria has continuously improved in the Renewable Energy category, and now has a high rating. Yet it maintains its low ratings in the GHG Emissions and Energy Use categories and a very low in Climate Policy.

Bulgaria submitted its Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) plan to the European Commission in 2021. The RRF includes measures such as decarbonisation of the economy, energy efficiency, and sustainable agriculture. The CCPI experts note that effective implementation is crucial for these planned reforms. The government has put efforts into energy efficiency in buildings and improving railway transportation, though the country remains highly reliant on fossil fuels for its energy supply.

Discussions about a coal phase-out are slowly starting in Bulgaria. The experts suggest this phase-out should be set for 2030. Private investors have built renewable energy production facilities, though there is little governmental support for these projects. At the international climate policy level, Bulgaria is mostly in opposition with progressive policies and at the national level, the country only fulfils minimum EU requirements for climate action.

The following national experts agreed to be mentioned as contributors for this year’s CCPI: Radostina Slavkova (Za Zemiata), Greenpeace CEE – Bulgaria

Technical note: how to read the target comparison graph

The graph above shows the development of a country over the past years compared with its Paris compatible pathway and 2030 target. For all three quantitative categories of the CCPI, this visualisation gives an overview of where a country is right now, where it would need to be to fulfil the Paris Agreement promises and where it aims to be in 2030.

For GHG emissions per capita, the data includes LULUCF, as used for the emissions per capita indicator. This leads to the vast changes in emissions of some countries with high forest coverage.
The calculation of individual country target pathways is based on the common but differentiated convergence approach (CDC). It is based on the principle of “common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities” laid forth in the Framework Convention on Climate Change. All Annex I countries therefore have a decreasing pathway from 1990 onwards, starting at that year’s emissions. 60 years later, in 2050, these countries are expected to reach net zero emissions. All other countries, which did not reach the level of global average emissions in 1990, are allowed to increase emissions until the average is reached. But by latest 2015 these countries, too, have decreasing pathways and 60 years to reach net zero. These pathways start from the global average.

The Renewable Energy data is given in per cent of Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES) and includes hydro energy, consistent with the respective CCPI indicator. As global distribution of Renewables (especially solar and wind) only started in the 2000s, the pathways in this category start in 2010. All countries have an equal goal: 100% Renewables in 2050, each starting from its 2010 value.

For Energy Use the Primary Energy Supply per capita is shown. All pathways for this category start at country’s 1990 values and meet at global average of 80 gigajoules per capita in TPES.
For 2°C and 1.5°C scenarios, a decrease in emissions by reducing the (growth in) energy use is as crucial as deploying renewable (or other low-carbon) technologies. The IPCC carried out a scenario comparison using a large number of integrated assessment models. From the scenarios available, we observe that the total amount of global energy use in 2050 has to be roughly the same level or a bit higher than it is today, with a margin of uncertainty. At the same time population will grow slightly between today and 2050. We therefore pragmatically chose the well-below-2° compatible benchmark to be “same energy use per capita in 2050 as the current global average”, which is 80 gigajoules per capita in TPES.

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